Delightful-Editor
0x82f6f474de0f3164da52a10fd01d6bb68d3fe5d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$54.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
3115 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
1655 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
926 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Too Big To Rig" this week? (January 25)
661 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?
455 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
429 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
403 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
167 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$149.99Jul 7, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$210.98Jun 26, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$207.06Jun 26, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$193.79Jun 26, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$332.73Jun 26, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$102.81Jun 25, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$205.80Jun 25, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? AND Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$205.87Jun 25, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?$102.87Jun 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?$102.64Jun 15, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$264.45Jun 12, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$262.86Jun 12, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$0.00Jun 12, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$417.88Jun 12, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$0.00Jun 12, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$0.00Jun 12, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$138.60Jun 12, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$1.1KJun 12, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$315.43Jun 2, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$102.80May 14, 10:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $175.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.