Long-Term-Eel
0x83034f2c6d510d17d0ff800f270812846ca5d68b
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-249.20
Realised
$323.57
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
11155 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-37.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
10850 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
7136 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
7120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
6605 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-37.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
5382 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
5072 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
3016 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
2005 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$3.00Mar 13, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$4.00Mar 13, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$2.00Mar 13, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$7.00Mar 13, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$6.00Mar 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.60Mar 13, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$3.00Mar 13, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.05Mar 13, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$4.00Mar 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$16.87Mar 13, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$7.00Mar 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 13:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 13:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.