0x8308fe8726e7b983ed8e6b5b3d15324f9dd99f5b
0x8308fe8726e7b983ed8e6b5b3d15324f9dd99f5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$600.10
Total PnL
$-44.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
100 shares @ 51.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$100.10
$48.10
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
100 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$100.00
$34.00
- YES
Will there be 1 NYT banner headline by February 28?
100 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$100.00
$29.00
- YES
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$100.00
$20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 24?
100 shares @ 91.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$100.00
$8.60
- YES
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
100 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$100.00
$5.70
- YES
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
703 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-27.40
- YES
Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
600 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-19.80
- YES
Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
203 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
200 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Clarence Thomas attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$11.00Feb 23, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$66.00Feb 23, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 24?$91.40Feb 23, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel A. Alito attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$19.00Feb 22, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?$3.00Feb 22, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$1.10Feb 22, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$9.00Feb 22, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$3.70Feb 22, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$32.00Feb 22, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$52.00Feb 22, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$4.00Feb 22, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$84.00Feb 22, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Good" be said 20+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)$22.98Feb 22, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?$193.86Feb 22, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 22?$100.00Feb 22, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on February 22?$0.00Feb 22, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$84.00Feb 22, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Homefront" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.30Feb 22, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Overboard" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.90Feb 22, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.20Feb 22, 13:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $24.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 23:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 02:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".