Last-Ascend
0x83255595ba1fadd2e734cb30a0fb8110301a19cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$7.2K
Total PnL
$-88.3K
Realised
$7.0K
Win rate
50%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- UNDER
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5
7538 shares @ 83.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$6.7K
$442.65
- URUGUAY
Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)
2151 shares @ 3.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$462.43
$397.91
- CABO VERDE
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)
1278 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$23.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
96049 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score
60315 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- SAUDI ARABIA
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
52299 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.7K
- NO
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
48110 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.6K
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
40716 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.5K
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
19356 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score
16521 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-435.33
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.1KJun 22, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$63.9KJun 22, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMUruguay leading at halftime?$6.9KJun 22, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score$1.4KJun 22, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5$10.73Jun 22, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5$56.2KJun 22, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5$46.9KJun 22, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5$2.9KJun 22, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$1.5KJun 22, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$775.18Jun 22, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5$901.00Jun 22, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMCabo Verde leading at halftime?$1.6KJun 22, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$143.2KJun 22, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$22.9KJun 22, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?$2.1KJun 22, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Uruguay (-1.5)$1.3KJun 22, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5$185.97Jun 22, 00:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$393.04Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$23.31Jun 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5$33.62Jun 21, 23:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$149.8K
Trades
13
Buy share
89%
Window
Jun 14, 21:30 UTC → Jun 20, 20:25 UTC
- BUYWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$19.1K@76¢Jun 20, 20:25 UTC
- BUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$13.0K@99¢Jun 20, 18:15 UTC
- BUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$9.8K@58¢Jun 20, 17:05 UTC
- BUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$6.6K@30¢Jun 20, 04:12 UTC
- BUYWill France vs. Senegal end in a draw?$5.0K@17¢Jun 16, 20:33 UTC
- SELLWill France vs. Senegal end in a draw?$17.2K@83¢Jun 16, 20:33 UTC
- BUYWill Senegal win on 2026-06-16?$24.2K@98¢Jun 16, 20:33 UTC
- BUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$8.0K@63¢Jun 16, 20:23 UTC
- BUYSaudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5$9.7K@97¢Jun 16, 00:03 UTC
- BUYWill Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$8.1K@98¢Jun 16, 00:03 UTC
- BUYSaudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5$9.8K@98¢Jun 16, 00:03 UTC
- BUYBelgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5$13.2K@100¢Jun 15, 20:33 UTC
- BUYNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5$5.9K@97¢Jun 14, 21:27 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
46/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 32 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 13 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
32 closed markets, 50% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$143.9K
12 trades
30d volume
$149.8K
13 trades
Buy share
89%
Sample
medium
13 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
$24.2K · 16% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 23:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.