Red-Bargain
0x832d27c7c3e22a1a806b889cede0ad63ff42b47d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$21.75
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$10.19
$0.19
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.84
$-5.16
- YES
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.80
$-1.20
- YES
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
265 shares @ 5.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.91
$-12.09
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
9886 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
339 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-79.08
- YES
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?
283 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
182 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$22.22Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$15.19Jun 13, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$5.14Jun 13, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyase Ueda: 1+ goals$5.11Jun 13, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$10.22Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.16Jun 13, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$83.32Jun 13, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$52.08Jun 13, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$25.91Jun 13, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$10.00Jun 13, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$377.78Jun 13, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$35.50Apr 25, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$11.57Apr 25, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$100.00Apr 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$101.00Apr 23, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 23, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$5.00Apr 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$10.00Apr 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 23, 08:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $71.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 10:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.