Sniveling-Passion
0x8333521ed10e5c714960cde86e43b0a93e9def3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$17.7K
Total PnL
$594.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
8024 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.0K
$242.82
- NO
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?
2312 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.2K
$-12.64
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
2303 shares @ 78.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$222.22
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2231 shares @ 89.6¢·now 91.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.0K
$35.88
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
1559 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.6K
$55.04
- NO
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
895 shares @ 89.4¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$814.45
$14.45
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
587 shares @ 85.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$519.32
$19.32
- NO
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?
327 shares @ 91.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$326.36
$26.36
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
207 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$202.98
$2.98
- YES
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?
50 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by August 31, 2026?$2.1KJul 21, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$2.1KJul 20, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$12.86Jul 19, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$36.29Jul 19, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-07-18?$60.82Jul 18, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-18?$35.86Jul 18, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by August 31, 2026?$100.00Jul 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$126.45Jul 12, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$25.71Jul 12, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$25.03Jul 12, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$101.05Jul 12, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$102.33Jul 12, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$202.17Jul 12, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$126.55Jul 9, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?$200.00Jul 9, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$100.66Jul 9, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$810.00Jul 7, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$20.49Jul 7, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$10.16Jul 6, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$42.35Jul 3, 23:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $484.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 12:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 06:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.