Crafty-Preserves
0x833f5690bd4609bd4679f8973666b1c0e9599557
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$8.68
Total PnL
$-419.48
Realised
$-42.71
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
61 shares @ 8.2¢·now 9.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.65
$0.65
- YES
Is Earth flat?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.31
$0.31
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
59 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.56
$-0.62
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.25
$-2.75
- NO
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)
8960 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.44
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
4810 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.61
- NO
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 18, 2026?
2590 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.68
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
1286 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
1008 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.04Jun 9, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIs Earth flat?$1.05Jun 9, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?$1.35Jun 6, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?$0.55Jun 5, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?$2.06Jun 5, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYModi out by December 31, 2026?$5.18Jun 5, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLModi out by December 31, 2026?$13.06May 24, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.23May 22, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 22, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLModi out by December 31, 2026?$1.25May 22, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas the Fox News guest wearing a mask?$2.10May 22, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLModi out by December 31, 2026?$3.08May 22, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5.28May 8, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLModi out by December 31, 2026?$5.34May 8, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$4.00Apr 19, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLMH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?$3.88Apr 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out by June 30, 2026?$9.72Apr 17, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.00Apr 11, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$0.00Apr 11, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$2.07Apr 10, 21:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.