Spirited-Drizzle
0x8346ef5468e1a0fdb3eb9858a4ee5c741f8ed8dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-431.20
Realised
$1.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
550 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in March 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets in March 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on February 21?$7.94Feb 22, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 21?$12.50Feb 22, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 16-22?$1.24Feb 21, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?$1.00Feb 21, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$5.00Feb 21, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$2.00Feb 21, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 21?$5.00Feb 21, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?$2.00Feb 21, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 16-22?$1.00Feb 21, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 16-22?$1.00Feb 21, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?$5.00Feb 21, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 21?$5.00Feb 21, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 21?$5.00Feb 21, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$15.38Feb 21, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?$17.86Feb 21, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 12?$1.61Feb 6, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.75Feb 6, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?$2.00Feb 6, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?$2.03Feb 6, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$0.78Feb 5, 20:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $11.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 12:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 19:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".