Trivial-Buzzard
0x834b53ce216b396ce276061d8c0c488ab389a37e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$71.92
Total PnL
$-939.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
72 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$71.92
$-0.18
- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
27000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- PADRES
Reds vs. Padres
469 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- PADRES
Reds vs. Padres
233 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-140.00
- MARLINS
Nationals vs. Marlins
230 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-122.00
- RAYS
Rays vs. White Sox
209 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-121.00
- YANKEES
Tigers vs. Yankees
203 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?
167 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- MERCURY
Mercury vs. Wings
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$62.50Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $10.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 13:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.