Shiny-Dozen
0x8350a502fff47041f3ea1cc08edadb5cb3701439
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$99.66
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$33.32
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
104 shares @ 91.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.66
$5.03
- YES
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?
2200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-220.00
- NO
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
1097 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-76.22
- NO
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?
672 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-436.49
- YES
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 2?
441 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-17.66
- YES
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?
400 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-66.34
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
315 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
216 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
184 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-62.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$95.05May 7, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Levon Aronian win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?$0.99Dec 29, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pentala Harikrishna win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?$1.47Dec 29, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Radoslaw Wojtaszek win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?$5.47Dec 29, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olexandr Bortnyk win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?$6.47Dec 29, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?$10.00Dec 29, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vincent Keymer win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?$10.00Dec 29, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?$10.00Dec 29, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?$13.89Dec 29, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dmitry Andreikin win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?$18.00Dec 29, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?$18.58Dec 29, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?$62.40Dec 22, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$62.58Dec 21, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$95.95Dec 21, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?$95.95Dec 21, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?$125.93Dec 21, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorden Van Foreest win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?$11.55Dec 21, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$114.39Dec 19, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Makina public sale?$0.00Dec 18, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.00Dec 18, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $52.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.