Pricey-Jumbo-Survival
0x835ecd0933eb412d8f5621e60e69901e12b3c209
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.1K
Realised
$461.15
Win rate
59%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12PM ET
1027 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-146.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
984 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-133.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
935 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-67.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
899 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-67.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
826 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
813 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-69.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10PM ET
813 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-193.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
810 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5PM ET
806 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-81.83
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.65Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.02Jul 25, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.02Jul 25, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.02Jul 25, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.03Jul 25, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.28Jul 25, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.23Jul 25, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.23Jul 25, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.23Jul 25, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.22Jul 25, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.26Jul 25, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$35.72Jul 25, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.14Jul 25, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.20Jul 25, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.20Jul 25, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.20Jul 25, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$9.71Jul 25, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$51.36Jul 25, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$61.80Jul 25, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.05Jul 25, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 63 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
63 closed markets, 59% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 19:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.