Scrawny-Turn
0x8361a3dbebea9a37035a2ad6362b6e867cb2c67e
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
3217 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
342 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
231 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
64 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Trump positive favorability on Day 100?
62 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
AOC charged before July?
42 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?
31 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump positive favorability on Day 100?$7.00Feb 17, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$2.00Feb 17, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? $5.00Feb 17, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump positive favorability on Day 100?$3.00Feb 17, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$7.00Feb 17, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$1.00Feb 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAOC charged before July? $2.00Feb 17, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$10.00Feb 17, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$3.00Feb 17, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$5.00Feb 17, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$7.00Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$2.00Feb 17, 00:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $4.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 23:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.