Likely-Water
0x8361fcef462a3fc589f943f418167165dea5bb6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$88.03
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $205?
98 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$88.03
$-1.97
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Pacers
5738 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.5K
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Magic vs. Trail Blazers
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-13?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- KINGS
Kraken vs. Kings
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- KINGS
Pistons vs. Kings
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $205?$90.00May 18, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $185?$24.02May 18, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $190?$72.19May 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $190?$72.00May 13, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $185?$24.00May 12, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $172 Week of May 4 2026?$97.49May 12, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $172 Week of May 4 2026?$97.02May 6, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?$96.19May 6, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?$46.00Apr 28, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?$50.00Apr 28, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,150 Week of April 20 2026?$90.13Apr 28, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,150 Week of April 20 2026?$90.00Apr 23, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 13 above $165?$90.91Apr 19, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 13 above $165?$90.00Apr 14, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 6 above $145?$90.09Apr 14, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 6 above $145?$90.00Apr 8, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of March 30 2026?$0.00Apr 8, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of March 30 2026?$89.09Apr 5, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of March 30 2026?$89.00Apr 3, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$73.07Apr 3, 14:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $53.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 03:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".