Required-Reserve
0x83678d1893136fdd79f995c2f2f0b7f3e09d2a2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
123
Open notional
$262.96
Total PnL
$-14.4K
Realised
$332.87
Win rate
47%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 123- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
200 shares @ 18.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$192.96
$155.29
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
100 shares @ 63.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.00
$7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2400 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
1400 shares @ 99.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 3AM ET
1089 shares @ 96.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
1020 shares @ 97.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-996.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 5AM ET
855 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-52.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 10PM ET
705 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-107.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
562 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-210.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
547 shares @ 78.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-430.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Apr 4, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 4, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 4, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?$100.00Apr 4, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?$100.00Apr 4, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?$0.00Mar 2, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 2, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?$100.00Mar 2, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$100.00Mar 2, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$63.00Feb 10, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?$87.00Feb 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?$94.57Feb 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$94.00Feb 10, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$96.50Feb 10, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?$85.00Feb 9, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$92.00Feb 9, 09:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 6, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$429.12Feb 5, 23:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $79.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 22:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 06:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".