Trustworthy-Modeling
0x836bf544f3e476639bda9f1eb7e4ffd64402e66c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$20.64
Total PnL
$-173.13
Realised
$2.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
25 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$14.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
35 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$5.77
$-0.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
76 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?
60 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
30 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
26 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$8.10Jun 13, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$3.07Jun 13, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$3.01Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$7.09Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$5.05Jun 9, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$5.35Jun 9, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.02Jun 8, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.01Jun 6, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$5.00Jun 4, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$5.00Jun 4, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$0.00Jun 4, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Jun 4, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$3.05Jun 4, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.02Jun 4, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.03Jun 4, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$0.00Jun 4, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$10.80Jun 4, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$5.00Jun 4, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$5.05Jun 4, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.04Jun 2, 10:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 02:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.