Knotty-Sabre
0x836c46ebc62c6b649cebe2ee49a5a137c67d0a67
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$2.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
5649 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
1327 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?
224 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Thailand strikes Cambodia by November 30?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$330.00Apr 12, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$250.00Apr 12, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?$56.00Apr 11, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$400.00Apr 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$462.00Jan 23, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$509.94Jan 17, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$6.16Nov 27, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$15.23Nov 27, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$5.00Nov 26, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$3.00Nov 26, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$3.00Nov 26, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$3.00Nov 26, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$44.00Nov 25, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$245.00Nov 24, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$10.00Nov 24, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$7.45Nov 23, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolas Sarkozy in jail by December 31?$0.50Nov 23, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?$1.20Nov 23, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sue the BBC?$4.69Nov 23, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLThailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?$0.26Nov 23, 16:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $50.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 08:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 11:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.