Instructive-Vineyard
0x836f0dd97a41486ac326583cbb1345655511a549
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$136.48
Total PnL
$-72.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
136 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$136.48
$16.48
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Japan troop visit on October 28?
1055 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?
440 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $240 in October?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "World War 3" during Japan troop visit on October 28?
75 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Japan troop visit on October 28?
44 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-12.85
- YES
Will Trump say "Kim Jong-Un" during Japan troop visit on October 28?
19 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.82
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "President Xi" during Japan troop visit on October 28?$7.34Oct 29, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Japan troop visit on October 28?$12.85Oct 28, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?$12.86Oct 28, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "President Xi" during Japan troop visit on October 28?$4.77Oct 28, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "World War 3" during Japan troop visit on October 28?$10.00Oct 28, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$14.77Oct 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kim Jong-Un" during Japan troop visit on October 28?$5.82Oct 28, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Japan troop visit on October 28?$20.00Oct 28, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$23.99Oct 28, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?$20.00Oct 24, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$120.00Oct 24, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $240 in October?$20.00Oct 24, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?$20.00Oct 24, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$20.00Oct 24, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$20.00Oct 24, 22:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $23.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 02:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".