Downright-Website
0x836ffd95ef3cf3c7987612279b2152b11ce6906e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$243.2K
Total PnL
$10.8K
Realised
$199.35
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
68667 shares @ 94.2¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.2K
$2.5K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
56657 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$56.2K
$765.95
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
36878 shares @ 88.8¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.8K
$3.1K
- NO
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
15415 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.7K
$1.3K
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
11352 shares @ 90.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.6K
$336.40
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
10345 shares @ 72.3¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.3K
$848.44
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
8305 shares @ 95.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.2K
$291.23
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
7033 shares @ 93.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$6.9K
$319.21
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
5781 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.7K
$505.09
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
5345 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.3K
$39.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$58.61Jun 14, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$20.54Jun 14, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$37.20Jun 14, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$170.88Jun 14, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$907.39Jun 14, 02:05 UTC
- REWARD$1.15Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$449.51Jun 13, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.7KJun 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$851.71Jun 13, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June?$110.92Jun 13, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June?$66.70Jun 13, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in June?$174.79Jun 13, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 13?$726.61Jun 13, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$2.8KJun 13, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$880.00Jun 13, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$2.2KJun 13, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?$200.82Jun 13, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?$66.65Jun 13, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$1.5KJun 13, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$344.72Jun 13, 10:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$21.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 31, 04:10 UTC → May 31, 04:03 UTC
- BUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$21.0K@100¢May 31, 04:03 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$21.0K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
$21.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $493.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 15:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.