Hard-Gavel
0x837070b379ce22be8310b305469554b74b1f033b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-17.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- CHICAGO CUBS
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs
1017 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.0K
$406.67
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
11250 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- BLACKHAWKS
Blackhawks vs. Kings
10398 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.6K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
10004 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-700.00
- BLACKHAWKS
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights
8799 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
8739 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- BEARS
Bears vs. Packers
8470 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
8009 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-154.96
- YES
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
7942 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-992.74
- ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
6257 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins$71.28May 3, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLToronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins$67.52May 3, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins$65.80May 3, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres$305.40May 3, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs$617.32May 3, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$992.74Apr 4, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$1.0KApr 4, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$1.1KApr 3, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$993.45Apr 3, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?$936.69Mar 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?$50.03Mar 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?$395.38Mar 16, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlackhawks vs. Avalanche$546.93Mar 1, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.6KFeb 28, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$300.00Feb 18, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$700.00Feb 18, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$368.00Feb 18, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBears vs. Packers$2.3KDec 7, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlackhawks vs. Kings$1.6KDec 7, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlackhawks vs. Kings$2.0KDec 7, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $961.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 00:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 17:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".