Vivid-Cooking
0x837190d8cbd108bf382980070c25d25074690ac5
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$37.52
Total PnL
$0.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?
12 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$12.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$12.01
$0.01
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
8 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$8.37
$0.37
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on March 10?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$12.00Mar 7, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on March 10?$3.00Mar 7, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?$12.00Mar 7, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$8.00Mar 7, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on February 4?$4.01Mar 7, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on February 5?$12.06Mar 7, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 30 days or more?$14.17Mar 7, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 30 days or more?$14.00Feb 2, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on February 5?$12.00Feb 2, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on February 4?$4.00Feb 2, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9.49Feb 2, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manuel João Vieira qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$13.13Feb 2, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$15.04Feb 2, 13:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 2, 00:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 1, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 31, 01:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 30, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 29, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 28, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 27, 00:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $22.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 08:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 06:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.