Smooth-Patriarch
0x83789578cf5edae810562c69530d25a89e8e0274
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-308.40
Realised
$-125.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump complete his first term?
1005 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2021$0.00
$-175.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020?
506 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2020$0.00
$-7.19
- YES
Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht?
3 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2021$0.00
$-0.68
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill it snow in New Yorks' Central Park on Christmas Eve (Dec 24)?$889.09Dec 28, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase delist Ripple (XRP) before they begin publicly trading?$13.26Mar 6, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?$12.59Mar 6, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye West release a new studio album before 2021?$1.62Jan 3, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Playboi Carti release a new album before 2021?$5.6KDec 25, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWhich party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election?$1.55Nov 24, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWhich party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election?$0.00Nov 4, 20:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 20:30 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 28, 14:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.