Colorless-Quadrant
0x837bbc96bb7ea58db51b9bd8904dd5651343e8be
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$231.28
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?
10678 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-119.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?
3509 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-58.87
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?
3492 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-89.13
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?
2800 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-168.00
- YES
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
2661 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-249.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
2083 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
1865 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?
1793 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-69.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 8?
1674 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-251.03
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?
1667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$359.97Jul 19, 23:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $126.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.