Proper-Tomtom
0x837cf93f931b57606639c9868ea556426e86d774
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.56
Total PnL
$-793.57
Realised
$-30.86
Win rate
0%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.56
$3.56
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
1442 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?
1187 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
967 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
259 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
231 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
227 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
200 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?
79 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-36.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 18?$0.65Jul 18, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 18?$0.00Jul 18, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C or higher on July 18?$0.01Jul 18, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C or higher on July 18?$0.00Jul 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 18?$0.01Jul 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 18?$0.30Jul 18, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 18?$0.15Jul 18, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 16?$1.34Jul 16, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 16?$0.04Jul 15, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 16?$1.00Jul 15, 07:24 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 16?$2.00Jul 15, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?$0.20Jul 15, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?$1.03Jul 15, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 15?$1.50Jul 15, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$2.18Jul 15, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$4.29Jul 15, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 8, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?$1.04Jul 8, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?$1.04Jul 8, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$5.20Jul 8, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 01:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.