Ill-Fated-Pegboard
0x837f3ef972f2ce7bce25616691fead5c5bd07f46
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$40.80
Total PnL
$-8.89
Realised
$0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?
217 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.60
$-1.17
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.38
$1.38
- YES
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.88
$-0.13
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.08
$-0.92
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?$5.00Jun 10, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?$1.00Jun 10, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?$2.00Jun 10, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$5.00Jun 10, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$1.08Jun 10, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 10, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$1.00Jun 10, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$1.03Jun 10, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$1.11Jun 8, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?$1.00Jun 6, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?$2.00Jun 6, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?$8.00Jun 6, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$1.89Jun 5, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?$3.27Jun 5, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?$2.13Jun 5, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?$1.03Jun 5, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?$1.03Jun 5, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?$1.50Jun 5, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?$2.00Jun 5, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?$2.00Jun 5, 02:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 17:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.