Icy-Ceramics
0x8384819d6f3dbf3c280551e4a277d80e34d78c15
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-104.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on January 26?
226 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- YES
Will "Love is Blind: Ohio" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
221 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on January 22?
220 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 28?
205 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 24?
190 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 23?
186 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.17
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
162 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 7?
143 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 20?
137 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 20?
117 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 10?$2.47Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 9?$2.75Jul 8, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 2?$1.67Jul 2, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?$27.10Jul 2, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?$225.00Jun 1, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on June 1?$87.04Jun 1, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on June 1?$6.58Jun 1, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?$222.53May 31, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15?$29.88May 31, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 24?$242.98May 24, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 24?$1.92May 23, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 24?$0.48May 23, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 24?$240.56May 23, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 12?$68.16May 23, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$120.74May 16, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$3.59May 15, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,150 on April 19?$159.44May 10, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?$24.58Apr 28, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 27?$28.15Apr 27, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 27?$3.01Apr 26, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $56.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.