Demanding-Bride
0x8393de2ceb38c76a411d57928fe97d004bea6e26
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$15.87
Total PnL
$-44.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.87
$5.87
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on July 12 at 5PM ET?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
476 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed rate cut by July meeting?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
26 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Elon" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGrok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$10.14Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.00Jul 16, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by July meeting?$5.00Jul 16, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$5.00Jul 13, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elon" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$5.00Jul 13, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?$10.00Jul 13, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 12 at 5PM ET?$8.15Jul 12, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$5.00Jul 12, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$10.00Jul 12, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?$5.00Jul 12, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$5.00Jul 12, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 12 at 5PM ET?$8.00Jul 12, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on July 12 at 5PM ET?$10.00Jul 12, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $7.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".