Superficial-Fry
0x8396494954bcda471314d4f8c846ae0b892b0c7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-75.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Holly Cairns be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
159 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2024$0.00
$-20.72
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
79 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-52.07
- YES
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
12 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$52.07Aug 20, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill four SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?$1.09Aug 20, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?$1.11Aug 20, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?$1.11Aug 20, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?$1.15Aug 20, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?$1.18Aug 20, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?$1.24Aug 20, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.30Aug 20, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?$1.40Aug 20, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "unemployment" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?$1.41Aug 20, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMGOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?$1.44Aug 20, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.77Aug 20, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.81Aug 20, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Simon Harris be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?$2.02Aug 20, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?$1.15Dec 10, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?$1.22Dec 10, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?$1.10Dec 10, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$37.50Dec 10, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $20.72Dec 10, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$30.00Dec 4, 11:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $424.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 12:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".