Cultivated-Income
0x8398d0cee48f80620d18749d5e18fcd2efb47539
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$-336.79
Win rate
45%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
2461 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-539.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2128 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-514.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1871 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-757.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
1624 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-467.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1422 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-516.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
1362 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-346.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
968 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-198.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
901 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-241.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
870 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-176.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
730 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-238.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$138.50Mar 22, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$5.00Mar 22, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$35.71Mar 22, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$5.00Mar 22, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$25.00Mar 22, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$66.04Mar 22, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$50.00Mar 22, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$197.26Mar 22, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$161.45Mar 22, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$5.00Mar 22, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$10.00Mar 22, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$19.14Mar 22, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$10.00Mar 22, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$10.00Mar 22, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$26.61Mar 22, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$5.00Mar 22, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$5.00Mar 22, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$5.00Mar 22, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$20.00Mar 22, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$188.90Mar 22, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $34.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 05:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 01:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.