Focused-Bump
0x83a934edec503ffd30191e93949579d07de598b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$107.61
Total PnL
$-72.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
41 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$41.22
$1.22
- YES
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
28 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$28.17
$8.17
- YES
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$24.69
$4.69
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
14 shares @ 73.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.53
$3.53
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?
59 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
34 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders say "Billionaire" 7+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?
34 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
19 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Israel by October 15?$5.38Nov 27, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMJames Comey arrested by October 31?$11.36Nov 27, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?$18.87Nov 27, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?$20.00Nov 27, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Nov 27, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$10.00Nov 27, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$20.00Nov 27, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$42.25Nov 27, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by October 31?$11.00Oct 9, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$20.00Oct 9, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Israel by October 15?$5.00Oct 9, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$20.00Sep 10, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?$10.00Sep 10, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon no longer world's richest before 2026?$10.00Sep 10, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Billionaire" 7+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?$30.00Aug 5, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$10.00Aug 5, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?$20.00Aug 5, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$30.00Aug 5, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $18.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 27, 16:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.