Vigorous-Quicksand
0x83a966e5a63af3331db216661eb1229a0d245369
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-4.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?
8474 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$0.00
$-145.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on February 4?
1866 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
1810 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-44.90
- NO
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
1741 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
801 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-101.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on January 30?
525 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on January 31?
505 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-36.50
- YES
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
422 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-118.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 49°F or higher on February 4?
406 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2025$0.00
$-320.49
- YES
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
405 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$605.45Feb 24, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $99.72Feb 22, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $18.52Feb 21, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$101.06Feb 21, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$400.00Feb 21, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in NYC be 44°F or higher on January 30?$0.00Feb 12, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?$10.00Feb 11, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?$20.00Feb 11, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?$30.00Feb 11, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on February 6?$75.27Feb 6, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in February 2025?$75.27Feb 6, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on February 4?$24.00Feb 4, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$24.00Feb 4, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London between 43-44°F on February 1?$0.00Feb 4, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London between 47-48°F on February 1?$0.00Feb 4, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on January 31?$0.00Feb 4, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?$0.00Feb 4, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?$0.00Feb 4, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be 49°F or higher on February 4?$320.49Feb 4, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?$25.00Feb 4, 04:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $95.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 12:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 07:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".