Smart-Real
0x83aa1c38eafbabea1a83f91d5b5280808432595e
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$15.13
Total PnL
$-0.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump Crypto Pardon Parlay
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.64
$0.64
- YES
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.45
$0.45
- NO
US stagflation in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?$81.00Oct 20, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?$166.40Oct 19, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?$248.40Oct 19, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?$247.38Oct 19, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?$247.80Oct 19, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Crypto Pardon Parlay$10.00Oct 19, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$1.00Sep 25, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?$3.00Sep 25, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS stagflation in 2025?$1.00Sep 25, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$1.02Sep 25, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMDuterte released from custody before June?$1.02Sep 25, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.02Sep 25, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$1.10Sep 25, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?$2.21Sep 25, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMTrump meets with Carney in April?$2.22Sep 25, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump meets with Carney in April?$2.00Apr 1, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDuterte released from custody before June?$1.00Apr 1, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?$1.00Apr 1, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?$1.19Apr 1, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$2.25Apr 1, 04:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $27.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 03:31 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 20, 03:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".