White-Fatigue
0x83aa8b9547a1adccbd9faad3f955c269dad32b1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-69.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14
774 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-24.92
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4
516 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Doug Burgum for Energy Secretary?
124 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.24
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?
73 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
72 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.65
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "golf" during Pennsylvania rally?
35 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2024$0.00
$-9.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Doug Burgum for Energy Secretary?$1.24Nov 15, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$0.22Nov 15, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%? $0.83Nov 15, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34$5.00Nov 5, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4$5.00Nov 5, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%? $10.00Nov 5, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$10.00Nov 5, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14$14.00Nov 5, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win the VP debate according to polls?$44.20Oct 10, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "golf" during Pennsylvania rally?$9.36Oct 5, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tyreek Hill sue the cops?$0.00Oct 3, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Tampon" during the debate?$0.00Oct 3, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Trump" 20 or more times during the debate?$0.00Oct 3, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Illegal alien" during the debate?$0.00Oct 3, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Mamaw" during the debate?$0.00Oct 3, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWalz and Vance shake hands at first debate?$0.00Oct 3, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Inflation" during the debate?$0.00Oct 3, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz say "Racist" during the debate?$0.00Oct 3, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in September?$0.00Oct 3, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWalz's brother attends Trump rally in September?$0.00Oct 3, 19:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 00:55 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 15, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.