Charming-Behold
0x83aed01b8e3ac66833efeffb32751a74042cb280
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-208.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
865 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-51.74
- NO
Will Trump say "Globalist" or "Global" during WEF Address on January 21?
800 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 16?
230 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
132 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.57
- YES
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
113 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.86
- NO
Will Trump say "NATO" during WEF Address on January 21?
77 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.92
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?
68 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?
55 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-33.52
- YES
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?
38 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 15+ times during Iowa speech?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$95.19Feb 5, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$96.75Feb 5, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$0.63Feb 5, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$1.45Jan 31, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.45Jan 31, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$21.74Jan 31, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.50Jan 29, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.50Jan 29, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.26Jan 28, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$4.00Jan 28, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 15+ times during Iowa speech?$5.00Jan 27, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$11.26Jan 27, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.02Jan 26, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.00Jan 26, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$30.00Jan 26, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.94Jan 24, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?$5.94Jan 24, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?$6.06Jan 24, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?$6.06Jan 23, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$0.00Jan 23, 23:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 14:04 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".