Nautical-Cause
0x83b203e079f36c0ba03235546ec7b6299443fd70
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-127.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
2666 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?
754 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
282 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on February 14?
137 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.52
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
110 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on February 17?
83 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on February 17?
48 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on February 17?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 17?$5.00Feb 17, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on February 17?$5.88Feb 17, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on February 17?$10.00Feb 17, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 18?$15.00Feb 17, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 16?$35.88Feb 17, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.41Feb 16, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.00Feb 16, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on February 17?$15.00Feb 16, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Feb 16, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 22)$5.00Feb 16, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 16?$5.00Feb 16, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 16?$0.16Feb 16, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 15?$36.25Feb 16, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 16?$1.80Feb 16, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 16?$1.80Feb 16, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 16?$2.04Feb 16, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 16?$2.04Feb 16, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 16?$3.58Feb 16, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump approval Up or Down this week?$3.58Feb 16, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 16?$4.60Feb 16, 09:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 21:35 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".