Memorable-Grandfather
0x83b7d267a7f100bd1595a3afbbddfdbf0384376b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-766.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
1796 shares @ 77.9¢·now 96.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.7K
$338.02
- NO
Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
323 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$299.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
129 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.05
$-4.95
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
3226 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?$301.05Jul 21, 22:42 UTC
- YIELD$1.31Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23.5KJul 20, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.7KJul 19, 23:57 UTC
- YIELD$1.25Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.24Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.62Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.72Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.73Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.70Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.72Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.71Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.68Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.69Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$1.89Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$2.40Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$2.41Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$2.41Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$10.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $3.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 01:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.