Upbeat-Men
0x83bb65384b78163abf4c894d18ddec5a48a8b01f
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
110
Open notional
$26.95
Total PnL
$-524.45
Realised
$-7.29
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 27?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$2.11
$1.11
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 27?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$1.95
$0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 27?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 27?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 28?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 27?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 28?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 27?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 28?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$1.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?$1.03Jul 27, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?$1.02Jul 27, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 27?$1.56Jul 27, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 27?$1.72Jul 27, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 27?$2.63Jul 27, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 28?$1.03Jul 27, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 28?$1.02Jul 27, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 26?$1.85Jul 27, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 26?$1.92Jul 27, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 26?$3.45Jul 27, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 28?$1.03Jul 27, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 27?$1.02Jul 27, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 27?$1.02Jul 27, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 28?$1.03Jul 27, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 28?$1.03Jul 27, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 28?$1.03Jul 27, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 27?$1.03Jul 27, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 28?$1.03Jul 27, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 28?$1.03Jul 27, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 28?$1.02Jul 27, 01:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 21:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.