Variable-Watch
0x83c2a7bbbb9d1260e2120a2fb94ed593221f1193
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$117.89
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
119 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$117.89
$-0.42
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in October?
3892 shares @ 99.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.9K
- ASTROS
Astros vs. Blue Jays
244 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- TIGERS
Tigers vs. Yankees
233 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- PIRATES
Pirates vs. Orioles
213 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- SOUTH CAROLINA
Vanderbilt vs. South Carolina
119 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- METS
Mets vs. Phillies
89 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- AIR FORCE
Air Force vs. Utah State
72 shares @ 63.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-46.00
- BOSTON COLLEGE
Boston College vs. Stanford
52 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: August
44 shares @ 95.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-41.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".