Absolute-Salesman
0x83cb5e5697f62e87e94a2f3e7a11582d702760d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$95.92
Total PnL
$-253.94
Realised
$-3.36
Win rate
0%
91 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 13?
16 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$15.02
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 14?
17 shares @ 88.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$14.36
$-0.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 14?
14 shares @ 87.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$12.26
$-0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 14?
8 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$7.69
$0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 14?
9 shares @ 86.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$7.55
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 14?
8 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$7.48
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 12?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$6.35
$1.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on August 12?
6 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$5.86
$1.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 13?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.03
$0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 14?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$5.02
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 14?$4.99Aug 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 14?$7.50Aug 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 13?$7.50Aug 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 14?$3.74Aug 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 14?$3.74Aug 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 14?$7.49Aug 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 14?$4.99Aug 12, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 14?$7.49Aug 12, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 13?$7.50Aug 12, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 14?$7.49Aug 12, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 14?$3.75Aug 12, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 14?$3.74Aug 12, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on August 12?$4.53Aug 12, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 12?$5.21Aug 12, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 14?$4.99Aug 12, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?$4.99Aug 12, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 13?$4.99Aug 12, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 12?$4.54Aug 12, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 11?$1.60Aug 12, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 11?$1.74Aug 12, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 91 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
91 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $4.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 14:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 91 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.