Familiar-Disability
0x83cfaec30fccdfba77467b9703bd247f934c07b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$6.25
Total PnL
$-15.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
94 shares @ 8.7¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.25
$-1.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2034 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2032 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2032 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2030 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2030 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2028 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2028 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
2028 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2026 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.18Mar 18, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMHonduras presidential election annulled by February 28?$8.00Mar 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYHonduras presidential election annulled by February 28?$7.91Feb 4, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$2.01Feb 4, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.04Jan 8, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$2.01Jan 8, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$2.04Jan 8, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$2.00Jan 8, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$2.00Dec 15, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$2.00Dec 13, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Dec 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Dec 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Dec 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Dec 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$2.0KDec 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$0.00Dec 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Dec 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Dec 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$8.1KDec 1, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$4.0KDec 1, 05:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $477.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 04:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 11:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.