Fabulous-Caterpillar
0x83d7f877a66c752f3846a56f746f7ef2711b9bd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-547.58
Realised
$-189.71
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 1?
201 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-53.56
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 28?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 24?
194 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-51.84
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 28?
178 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-47.41
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,800 on January 23?
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 30?
141 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.77
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 10?
134 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?
128 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?
107 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.52
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 21?
98 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 14-20?$1.81Jul 20, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 9?$2.04Jul 9, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5?$83.26Jun 5, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?$1.09Jun 2, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$3.76May 31, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?$78.82May 26, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?$75.43May 25, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?$1.21May 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20?$2.79May 20, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 11?$75.57May 11, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 11?$71.56May 11, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 10?$2.30May 9, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.50 on April 18?$91.92Apr 30, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.50 on April 18?$90.08Apr 19, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 31, 6PM ET$93.78Apr 17, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 16?$2.25Apr 15, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be less than 1,500,000?$0.00Apr 10, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 31, 6PM ET$90.31Mar 31, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 1?$1.41Mar 31, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $3,100 on November 16?$0.00Mar 31, 22:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $32.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 06:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 05:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.