0x83d8e18d777831732a4fc78589efda1d31e5555f
0x83d8e18d777831732a4fc78589efda1d31e5555f
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$117.19
Total PnL
$-565.73
Realised
$-12.60
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?
23 shares @ 34.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.17
$15.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on April 22?
21 shares @ 86.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$20.55
$2.77
- YES
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 81.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$19.70
$3.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 22?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$15.00
$0.03
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$11.76
$3.76
- KAI KAMAKA III
UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Prelims)
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$9.82
$5.89
- YES
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
7 shares @ 68.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$7.27
$2.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 64-65°F on April 5?
6 shares @ 66.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$5.88
$1.95
- YES
Will Orlando Pride win on 2026-04-03?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$4.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 19?
258 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 23?$0.06Apr 23, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 23?$0.72Apr 23, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on April 23?$0.99Apr 23, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 23?$2.89Apr 23, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 23?$4.15Apr 23, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 23?$11.96Apr 23, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 23?$44.77Apr 23, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 23?$33.83Apr 23, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 23?$5.32Apr 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on April 23?$5.80Apr 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 23?$0.60Apr 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 23?$4.92Apr 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 23?$0.84Apr 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 23?$5.74Apr 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 23?$2.34Apr 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 23?$1.16Apr 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 23?$0.42Apr 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on April 23?$1.26Apr 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 23?$10.59Apr 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 23?$0.51Apr 23, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 15:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.