Splendid-Boulder
0x83dbaf87f738840bca27a47e18e883e738741a40
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
928 shares @ 61.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-569.98
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
504 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?
500 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Hanukkah" while addressing the nation on December 17?
290 shares @ 58.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-170.99
- NO
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
200 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-154.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
200 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.77
- NO
Will Powell say "Projection" 5+ times during December press conference?
135 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Australia" while addressing the nation on December 17?
100 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" while addressing the nation on December 17?
100 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jan 16, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$188.57Jan 15, 04:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jan 15, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$201.50Jan 11, 03:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 11, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.29Jan 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$200.00Jan 10, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$200.00Jan 10, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$668.57Jan 10, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$660.00Jan 9, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$600.00Jan 1, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$589.20Dec 29, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 29?$200.00Dec 29, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "DEI" or "Woke" or "Women's sports" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$74.77Dec 29, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$79.37Dec 29, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$95.00Dec 29, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMLeeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$100.00Dec 29, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Inflation" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$100.00Dec 29, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$129.57Dec 19, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$48.42Dec 18, 23:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $148.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 08:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 00:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".