Firsthand-Valuable
0x83e0664e3d5b659d82ade6db8b767d393cef1f8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$11.67
Total PnL
$-96.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.67
$-8.33
- YES
"One Battle After Another" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 85 and 89?
337 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?
145 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
58 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$10.00Jan 14, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$20.00Jan 14, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$20.00Jan 14, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$19.20Jan 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$20.00Jan 12, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$1.00Jan 3, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$20.00Jan 3, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$104.73Jan 3, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$20.00Dec 18, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$5.00Dec 6, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$5.00Sep 25, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?$5.00Sep 25, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$5.00Sep 25, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUY"One Battle After Another" Rotten Tomatoes score is 95 or higher?$5.00Sep 24, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUY"One Battle After Another" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 85 and 89?$5.00Sep 24, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$7.00Sep 24, 04:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $17.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 04:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".