Thunderous-Anarchist
0x83e2693418a56efc14b8c804111199333a35ce08
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$218.47
Total PnL
$-664.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
239 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$218.47
$8.36
- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
2070 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-37.27
- YES
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
541 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-400.62
- YES
Will Amad Diallo sign with a new club during the transfer window?
500 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
200 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-78.17
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
62 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-7.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$210.12Feb 3, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria join NATO by December 31?$210.10Feb 3, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria join NATO by December 31?$207.56Nov 25, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?$207.58Nov 25, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$7.12Oct 28, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$7.11Oct 28, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?$157.76Oct 15, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Son Heung-min sign with a new club during the transfer window?$25.00Sep 24, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi sign with a new club during the transfer window?$132.76Sep 24, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$400.62Jul 10, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$0.00Jul 10, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.00Jul 10, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMFIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal?$0.00Jul 10, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jamal Musiala be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$0.00Jul 10, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$0.00Jul 10, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.00Jul 10, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.00Jul 10, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$0.47Jul 4, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$0.81Jul 4, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$1.62Jul 4, 18:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $58.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 14:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".