Simplistic-Accident
0x83e87c1491d4bc36fab67916beecf7926d01bfa0
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-48.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 10?
2900 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 8?
2900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- YES
Will Tahesha Way be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?
68 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-34.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Tahesha Way be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?$68.01Feb 19, 13:44 UTC
- SPLITWill Tahesha Way be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?$68.01Jan 26, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 13?$3.0KJan 14, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 13?$3.0KJan 13, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 12?$3.0KJan 12, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 12?$3.0KJan 12, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 10?$3.0KJan 11, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 10?$8.70Jan 10, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 10?$3.0KJan 10, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 8?$5.00Jan 9, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?$10.00Jan 9, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$3.0KJan 9, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 8?$5.80Jan 7, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?$8.90Jan 7, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 8?$4.89Jan 7, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$3.0KJan 7, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 5?$3.0KJan 7, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 5?$3.0KJan 3, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$3.0KJan 2, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$152.69Dec 30, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 16:13 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 13:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.