0x83f1622e122c8e3c8e22d263ba5788af7becdcd3
0x83f1622e122c8e3c8e22d263ba5788af7becdcd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-116.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?
718 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$718.43
$21.43
- NO
Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?
282 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$281.55
$14.08
- NO
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$100.00
$14.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
300 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$22.50
$-10.50
- YES
Macron out by October 31, 2025?
2000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-79.95
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1000 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-61.00
- YES
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$33.00Jan 3, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLLecornu out as French PM by October 31?$8.02Oct 17, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$15.00Oct 17, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?$86.00Oct 17, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?$368.26Oct 17, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Turkey by December 31?$697.00Oct 13, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$99.30Oct 12, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$150.00Oct 11, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?$241.13Oct 11, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by October 31?$3.62Oct 11, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.69Oct 9, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$16.37Oct 9, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$16.69Oct 9, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$25.25Oct 9, 05:52 UTC
- REWARD$1.01Oct 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by October 31, 2025?$66.42Oct 8, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by October 31, 2025?$0.92Oct 8, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?$40.00Oct 8, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?$32.00Oct 8, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?$4.00Oct 8, 18:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $120.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 04:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.