Jubilant-Talk
0x83f1dc713b10e712ccfc198a977fda0f56349693
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
39 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.38
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
37 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
35 shares @ 56.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.81
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
33 shares @ 54.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-17.82
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
31 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
29 shares @ 62.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-18.11
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
27 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
25 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.96
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
25 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27?$0.62Jun 14, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12?$0.11Jun 14, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12?$0.76Jun 14, 07:47 UTC
- REWARD$8.01Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$34.33Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$13.80Jun 12, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$15.00Jun 12, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tunisia go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$0.78Jun 12, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$1.40Jun 12, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m?$16.87Jun 12, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m?$17.20Jun 12, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12?$0.10Jun 12, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12?$1.00Jun 12, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12?$8.03Jun 12, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12?$0.72Jun 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12?$12.61Jun 12, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12?$7.33Jun 12, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12?$7.39Jun 12, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ibrahima Konaté score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.14Jun 12, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.