0x83f2222bc3bb3e95b24738b324c2a8463eaf4397
0x83f2222bc3bb3e95b24738b324c2a8463eaf4397
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$14.67
Total PnL
$-2.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.17
$-0.33
- YES
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$1.69
$0.05
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?
31 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.55
$0.30
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.51
$0.13
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.42
$-0.47
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.80 in July?
60 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.23
$0.03
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.17
$-0.20
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 51.9¢·now 32.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.17
$-0.69
- YES
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 24.3¢·now 22.1¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$1.09
$-0.11
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of July 6 2026?
3 shares @ 48.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.89
$-0.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of July 6 2026?$1.23Jul 6, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.18Jul 6, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 6, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 in July?$1.33Jul 5, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?$1.40Jul 5, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?$2.59Jul 5, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?$1.46Jul 5, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?$0.95Jul 5, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $1,800 June 29-July 5?$6.25Jul 5, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.11Jul 5, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.23Jul 4, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$1.94Jul 4, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5?$0.33Jul 4, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?$1.07Jul 4, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?$1.34Jul 3, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.80 in July?$1.29Jul 3, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,800 June 29-July 5?$1.06Jul 2, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5?$1.32Jul 2, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.66Jul 2, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?$3.12Jul 2, 16:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 11:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.