Elegant-Formula
0x83fc804aa12bdbffbd2712ce7fa169be5680aae2
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.14
Total PnL
$-267.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
381 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.14
$-157.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 28?
230 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?
82 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 28?$41.65May 28, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?$70.52May 27, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27?$88.37May 27, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27?$61.19May 26, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?$49.19May 26, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?$60.81May 26, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?$71.14May 26, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?$50.76May 26, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 25?$73.49May 25, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 25?$60.82May 25, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 23?$60.06May 23, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 23?$50.45May 23, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 22?$0.00May 23, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 22?$0.00May 23, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 22?$60.88May 22, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 22?$64.60May 22, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 22?$60.22May 22, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 22?$50.99May 22, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 22?$50.17May 22, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?$51.10May 22, 13:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $50.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 21:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.