Trained-Triad
0x8403cb7419cbf5097b8e14bb60a410c2a159bb7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$149.93
Total PnL
$-107.26
Realised
$0.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
625 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$35.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
135 shares @ 37.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.42
$-18.58
- YES
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
339 shares @ 5.9¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.45
$-3.55
- NO
Will Hakan Çalhanoğlu score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.71
$4.71
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.97
$-2.03
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.08
$2.08
- NO
Will Alexander Isak score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.38
$1.38
- NO
Will Romelu Lukaku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Bruno Fernandes score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.97Jun 14, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.99Jun 14, 06:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$10.05Jun 13, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12Jun 13, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.84Jun 13, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$79.14Jun 13, 08:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$3.08Jun 12, 10:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$5.11Jun 9, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Isak score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.09Jun 9, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hakan Çalhanoğlu score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.10Jun 9, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romelu Lukaku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.11Jun 9, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Havertz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12Jun 9, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jun 9, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?$20.56Jun 9, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 9, 08:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $15.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.